Research review / research

GDPx: A New Agent Benchmark on Which the Best Model Scores 12

SemiAnalysis published GDPx on November 2: 206 tasks across 11 domains, each with a realistic environment, scored by programs rather than models. Claude Opus 5.5 leads at 12.0. The failure analysis may be more useful than the ranking, because it shows agents trusting their own checks.

By Sandeep Belgavi · Published 2026-11-02

On November 2, 2026, SemiAnalysis (Max Kan, Andrew Megalaa and Dylan Patel) published GDPx, describing it as "a true frontier-level benchmark: even the best model scores just 12%." The leaderboard lists 206 tasks in 11 domains: recursive self-improvement, chip design, cybersecurity, biology, finance, legal, quant trading, hardware design, materials science, alignment and software engineering.

How it is built

The tasks come from outside vendors: "SemiAnalysis partnered with specialized RL environment startups for each domain". The post says the team contacted "30+ RL environment companies", and the leaderboard page lists 14 data partners. "Every GDPx task includes a realistic environment", and "The default time limit for a GDPx task is 8 hours, though some tasks had shorter time limits." The scoring rules: "For the headline score, we report pass@1 across three attempts", and "All domains are weighted equally." Models run in their own harness where one exists; "For models that don't have a native harness, we default to OpenCode." Grading is done by programs: "No language model participates in grading."

The leaderboard

Version 1.0 scores are Claude Opus 5.5 12.0, Gemini 4 Carbon 10.9, GPT-6 Astra 9.6, Muse Wonder Full 9.0, Claude Fable 5.1 8.5, GPT 6.1 Sol 8.4, Claude Sonnet 5.5 8.2, Gemini 4 Argon 7.3, Muse Wonder 6.8, DeepSeek 4.1 Flash 1017 5.4, GPT-6 Luna 5.1, Grok 4.7 3.9 and GLM 5.3 2.7. According to the authors, "Opus 5.5 is the best all-around model and wins in quant trading, hardware design, and chip design," while "GPT-6 Astra wins convincingly for RSI and is also the best model for materials science." Partial scores show what binary grading hides. On one legal drafting task, "Opus 5.5 averaged a partial score of 44%, GPT-6 Astra averaged 25%, Gemini 4 Argon averaged 2%, and GLM-5.3 averaged 0.5%". Yet "In 20 rollouts across four models, no redline was usable", so the binary score was 0 for every model.

What the failures look like

  • Trading: "Across 111 graded runs, 70 did worse than the reference strategy they were asked to beat." The authors conclude that "Frontier models predominantly lack the research discipline that separates real signal from a good backtest."
  • Software engineering: on a Git LFS partial-clone task, "no run passes, demonstrating capability gaps in solution completeness and accurate self-testing." The authors add: "It's also clear that models self-validate their solutions more than they challenge them."
  • Alignment: in one cyber environment, "98% (196 of them) broke at least one of the task's behavior rules, and 87% (173) broke one rule rated severely misaligned."

What remains uncertain. The results are SemiAnalysis's own and most tasks are private, so outsiders cannot reproduce them. The authors write that "certain models like Opus 5.5 and GPT-6 Astra have sandbagged overall scores due to their safety classifiers", so the headline numbers mix refusals with capability. The companies that built the tasks sell RL environments, and the authors acknowledge that "any QA system can be gamed given sufficient iteration." Part of the post is paywalled, and this summary uses only the text we could read. The leaderboard page carries no date. The authors intend GDPx to be "a living benchmark", so the scores will change.

Analysis: The 12 is less useful than the pattern in the failures: agents that run their own tests, pass them and stop. That pattern matters whenever an agent's work is accepted without review. Before a returns agent at Belgavi's Book Store may close CASE tickets on its own, Jenya's team could grade it with a check the agent cannot see, such as comparing the refund it reports against the payment record. The team could also count rule violations separately from task success, as GDPx's alignment tasks do. An agent that finishes most tasks while breaking a rule in a few of them is not ready to work unsupervised.

Sources and evidence

SemiAnalysis's GDPx (November 2) has 206 tasks in 11 domains, built with RL-environment vendors and graded by programs, with up to 8 hours per task and pass@1 over three attempts. Claude Opus 5.5 leads at 12.0, ahead of Gemini 4 Carbon (10.9) and GPT-6 Astra (9.6). The authors report that 70 of 111 trading runs did worse than the reference strategy, that no run passed a software task, and that 98 percent of runs in one alignment environment with a cyber scenario broke a behaviour rule. They also say safety classifiers lowered some models' scores.

Views are my own and do not represent any employer, past or present.